Quite some time ago, I wrote this blog post concerning the
real estate bubble and the prospects for real estate values in our membership
area (Lake and Cook counties). It’s
interesting to go back and read my thoughts and opinions at that point in
time. Market values have rebounded but
it took much longer than I obviously thought at the time of that blog
post. It was really an unprecedented
event in our economy, both locally and nationally.
While real estate values have fully rebounded in most areas
of the country and are actually escalating rapidly again in the Twin Cities and
Duluth, our experience has been different.
Property values in all categories bottomed out in 2010. All property values declined substantially; the
most expensive homes, typically Lake Superior and inland lake properties, were
hit the hardest. Bare land also
plummeted in value. All properties in
our membership area have rebounded in value but certainly not equally.
As of the end of 2016, typical family homes (defined as
$175,000 or less) have usually regained all their value and are appreciating
once again. Average prices in this
category have increased by 36% since 2010. The number of sales in 2016 increased by 25% over 2015.
Inland lake homes have also bounced back, up 58% from their
lowest point, which means they are close to having regained all their peak
value. Even more impressive, the number of sales in 2016 increased by 81% over the prior year.
Lake Superior properties typically have not fully reclaimed
their lost value. They have rebounded
only 18% from their low point. One bit
of good news is that the number of sales in 2016 increased by 66% for this
category, which should indicate rising values.
Bare land prices are far from fully recovered, having only
recovered 20% of their lost value. However,
the number of sales in 2016 increased by37%.
All of these numbers paint a picture of a recovering real
estate market. Perhaps the best news yet
is that the real estate market in 2017 has been even more active across the
board.
Looks like the definition of EVENTUALLY is the summer of 2018………….
Mark
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